SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Worthing win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | Worthing |
40.3% ( -0.65) | 25.57% ( 0.17) | 34.13% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 55.39% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.45% ( -0.66) | 48.55% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.32% ( -0.6) | 70.67% ( 0.6) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.16% ( -0.62) | 23.83% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.98% ( -0.9) | 58.01% ( 0.9) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.72% ( -0.03) | 27.27% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.29% ( -0.03) | 62.71% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Havant & Waterlooville | Draw | Worthing |
| 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.97% Total : 40.3% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.99% Total : 34.13% |
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