SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boreham Wood win with a probability of 57.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 20.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boreham Wood win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 1-0 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boreham Wood would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Boreham Wood |
20.11% ( 0.87) | 22.3% ( 0.23) | 57.59% ( -1.1) |
| Both teams to score 54.14% ( 0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.41% ( 0.25) | 44.58% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.05% ( 0.24) | 66.95% ( -0.24) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.86% ( 1.06) | 36.13% ( -1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.08% ( 1.06) | 72.91% ( -1.06) |
| Boreham Wood Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.78% ( -0.27) | 15.22% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.13% ( -0.52) | 43.87% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Boreham Wood |
| 1-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.8% Total : 20.11% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.29% | 0-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 9.75% ( -0.3)1-3 @ 6.23% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 6.12% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 2.93% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 2.88% ( -0.15)2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.57% Total : 57.58% |
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