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National League South | Gameweek 39
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Viridor Stadium

Taunton Town
1 - 2
Hemel Hempstead

Morgan (64')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Hughes (15'), Williams (33')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Taunton Town and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chippenham 3-1 Taunton Town
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Braintree
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Taunton Town win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Taunton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Taunton TownDrawHemel Hempstead Town
40.68% (-0.203 -0.2) 27.69% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 31.63% (0.187 0.19)
Both teams to score 48.03% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.35%57.64% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.59% (0.0010000000000012 0)78.41%
Taunton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.2% (-0.111 -0.11)27.8% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.61% (-0.143 -0.14)63.39% (0.142 0.14)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.52% (0.136 0.14)33.48% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.88% (0.147 0.15)70.11% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Taunton Town 40.67%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 31.63%
    Draw 27.68%
Taunton TownDrawHemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 11.91% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.63% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 40.67%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 9.31%
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 10.18% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.13% (0.03 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.57% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 31.63%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Chippenham 3-1 Taunton Town
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 0-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 1-3 Hampton
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-3 Taunton Town
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 1-2 Eastbourne
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 0-1 Dover Athletic
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Braintree
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 0-3 Oxford City
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 1-0 Hemel Hempstead
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-0 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Hemel Hempstead
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 2-0 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League South


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