Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 23.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 1-0 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.

Result
Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Oxford City
23.79% ( -0.03)	24.62% ( -0.01)	51.59% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 51.76% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.81% (

-0)

50.19% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.85%

72.15% (

-0)

Hemel Hempstead Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.24% (

-0.03)

35.75% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.47% (

-0.03)

72.52% (

0.03)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.56% (

0.01)

19.44% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.72% (

0.02)

51.27% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Hemel Hempstead Town 23.79%

Oxford City 51.59%

Draw 24.61%

Hemel Hempstead Town	Draw	Oxford City
1-0 @ 7.15% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.68% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.06% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 23.79%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.95% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.61%	0-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.24% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.69% 1-4 @ 2.14% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.08% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.95% Total : 51.59%