SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 51.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 1-0 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Oxford City |
23.79% ( -0.03) | 24.62% ( -0.01) | 51.59% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.76% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.81% ( -0) | 50.19% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.85% | 72.15% ( -0) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.24% ( -0.03) | 35.75% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.47% ( -0.03) | 72.52% ( 0.03) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.56% ( 0.01) | 19.44% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.72% ( 0.02) | 51.27% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Oxford City |
| 1-0 @ 7.15% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 3.68% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.06% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.26% ( -0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 23.79% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.95% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.61% | 0-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.59% ( 0)0-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.24% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.09% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.69% 1-4 @ 2.14% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.08% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.95% Total : 51.59% |
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