Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 19.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Havant & Waterlooville win it was 0-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidstone United would win this match.
