Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidstone United win with a probability of 66.79%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 13.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidstone United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Hungerford Town win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidstone United would win this match.
