Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 52.93%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.
