Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Havant & Waterlooville in this match.
