SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 56.7%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 21.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Chippenham Town win it was 1-2 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Chippenham Town |
56.7% ( 0.19) | 21.65% ( -0.09) | 21.65% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 58.77% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.41% ( 0.28) | 39.59% ( -0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.06% ( 0.29) | 61.93% ( -0.29) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.17% ( 0.15) | 13.82% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.82% ( 0.3) | 41.17% ( -0.3) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.2% ( 0.06) | 31.8% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.76% ( 0.07) | 68.23% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Chippenham Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.37% Total : 56.7% | 1-1 @ 9.97% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.65% | 1-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.04% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 21.65% |
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