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National League South | Gameweek 17
Nov 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Court Place Farm

Oxford City
1 - 1
Dartford

Carroll (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bonner (25')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Oxford City and Dartford.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford City 3-1 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 3-1 Dartford
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Dartford had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Dartford win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Oxford CityDrawDartford
43.3% (-1.309 -1.31) 24.26% (0.108 0.11) 32.44% (1.197 1.2)
Both teams to score 59.39% (0.16200000000001 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.89% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)43.11% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.49% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)65.51% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.92% (-0.57599999999999 -0.58)20.08% (0.573 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.68% (-0.932 -0.93)52.31% (0.929 0.93)
Dartford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.31% (0.732 0.73)25.68% (-0.735 -0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.4% (0.987 0.99)60.59% (-0.98999999999999 -0.99)
Score Analysis
    Oxford City 43.3%
    Dartford 32.44%
    Draw 24.26%
Oxford CityDrawDartford
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-0 @ 8.28% (-0.143 -0.14)
2-0 @ 6.65% (-0.237 -0.24)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.157 -0.16)
3-0 @ 3.56% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.099 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 43.3%
1-1 @ 11.25% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.14% (0.043 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.26%
1-2 @ 7.65% (0.188 0.19)
0-1 @ 7.01% (0.151 0.15)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.2 0.2)
1-3 @ 3.47% (0.155 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.077 0.08)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.133 0.13)
1-4 @ 1.18% (0.076 0.08)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 32.44%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Oxford City 3-1 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 2-2 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 1-0 Oxford City
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Fleetwood 3-1 Oxford City
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Oxford City 2-0 Hungerford
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 2-1 Oxford City
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 3-1 Dartford
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 4-1 Braintree
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 5-1 Welling United
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 3-0 Weymouth
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 1-2 Dartford
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 1-1 Dartford
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South


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