Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 43.3%. A win for Dartford had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Dartford win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oxford City | Draw | Dartford |
43.3% ( -1.31) | 24.26% ( 0.11) | 32.44% ( 1.2) |
Both teams to score 59.39% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.89% ( -0.02) | 43.11% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.49% ( -0.02) | 65.51% ( 0.02) |
Oxford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.92% ( -0.58) | 20.08% ( 0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.68% ( -0.93) | 52.31% ( 0.93) |
Dartford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.31% ( 0.73) | 25.68% ( -0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.4% ( 0.99) | 60.59% ( -0.99) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford City | Draw | Dartford |
2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.97% Total : 43.3% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.48% Total : 32.44% |
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