SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Slough Town had a probability of 37.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Slough Town win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Slough Town | Draw | Worthing |
37.33% ( 0.04) | 24.06% ( 0.02) | 38.61% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 61.26% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.86% ( -0.11) | 41.13% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.47% ( -0.12) | 63.53% ( 0.12) |
| Slough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.95% ( -0.03) | 22.05% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.62% ( -0.04) | 55.38% ( 0.05) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.59% ( -0.08) | 21.41% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.59% ( -0.12) | 54.41% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Slough Town | Draw | Worthing |
| 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.19% 3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 37.33% | 1-1 @ 11% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.06% | 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.61% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 38.61% |
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