SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 42.73%. A win for Cheshunt had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.62%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Cheshunt win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheshunt | Draw | Worthing |
32.65% ( -2.66) | 24.62% ( 0.15) | 42.73% ( 2.5) |
| Both teams to score 58.22% ( -1.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.32% ( -1.37) | 44.68% ( 1.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.96% ( -1.34) | 67.04% ( 1.33) |
| Cheshunt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.69% ( -2.2) | 26.31% ( 2.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.56% ( -3.03) | 61.44% ( 3.03) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.01% ( 0.59) | 20.98% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.25% ( 0.91) | 53.75% ( -0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheshunt | Draw | Worthing |
| 2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.39) 1-0 @ 7.37% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.34)3-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.41)3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.27)3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.3)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.22)Other @ 3.25% Total : 32.65% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.19)0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.32)3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.62% | 1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.28) 0-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.64)0-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.61)1-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.37)2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.17)2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 42.73% |
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