Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 47.94%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.31%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Worthing win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.
