SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Braintree Town had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.59%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Braintree Town win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Worthing in this match.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Braintree Town |
50.17% ( 0.04) | 21.85% ( -0.01) | 27.98% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 65.42% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.98% ( 0.02) | 34.02% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.11% ( 0.02) | 55.89% ( -0.02) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.03% ( 0.02) | 13.97% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.53% ( 0.04) | 41.46% ( -0.04) |
| Braintree Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.05% ( -0.01) | 23.95% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.82% ( -0.01) | 58.18% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Braintree Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.59% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.48% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.08% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.34% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.99% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.14% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.18% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 3.75% Total : 50.17% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.35% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.07% ( 0)Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.85% | 1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.8% Total : 27.98% |
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