SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Bath City |
42.98% ( -0.02) | 23.52% ( 0) | 33.5% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 62.49% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.77% ( -0.03) | 39.22% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.44% ( -0.03) | 61.55% ( 0.03) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.38% ( -0.02) | 18.62% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.08% ( -0.03) | 49.91% ( 0.02) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.79% ( -0.01) | 23.21% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.89% ( -0.02) | 57.11% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Bath City |
| 2-1 @ 8.92% 1-0 @ 7.26% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.11% ( 0)3-1 @ 5% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.65% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.42% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0)Other @ 3.55% Total : 42.98% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.52% | 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.61% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.77% 2-3 @ 3.17% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.24% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 33.5% |
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