SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 21.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Chippenham Town win it was 1-2 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Torquay United | Draw | Chippenham Town |
56.6% ( 0.82) | 22.25% ( -0.43) | 21.15% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 55.95% ( 0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.03% ( 1.43) | 42.97% ( -1.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.63% ( 1.4) | 65.37% ( -1.4) |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.01% ( 0.77) | 14.99% ( -0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.56% ( 1.44) | 43.44% ( -1.44) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.82% ( 0.44) | 34.18% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.13% ( 0.47) | 70.87% ( -0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torquay United | Draw | Chippenham Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.36)2-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.27% ( 0.18)3-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.16)4-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.09)5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.77% Total : 56.6% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.08)0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.33)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.24% | 1-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.13% Total : 21.15% |
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