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National League South | Gameweek 30
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns

Chelmsford City
0 - 1
Welling United

 
FT(HT: 0-0)
Maloney (49' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Weymouth 1-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 2-4 Dulwich Hamlet
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 64.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 14.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawWelling United
64.99% (0.081999999999994 0.08) 20.18% (-0.052 -0.05) 14.83% (-0.029 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.44% (0.102 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.83% (0.17 0.17)44.17% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.46% (0.166 0.17)66.55% (-0.166 -0.17)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.19% (0.076999999999998 0.08)12.81% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.86% (0.157 0.16)39.14% (-0.156 -0.16)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.85% (0.064999999999998 0.06)42.15% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.43% (0.053999999999998 0.05)78.57% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 64.98%
    Welling United 14.83%
    Draw 20.18%
Chelmsford CityDrawWelling United
2-0 @ 11.4% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 11.09% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 7.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.75% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.01% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.47% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.014 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.65% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.012 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.42% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 64.98%
1-1 @ 9.59% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.4% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.25% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 20.18%
0-1 @ 4.67% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.14% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 2.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 14.83%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Weymouth 1-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-0 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 Chippenham
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 2-2 Chelmsford City
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 2-0 Braintree
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 3-0 Chelmsford City
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 2-4 Dulwich Hamlet
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 3-2 Welling United
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 2-1 Tonbridge Angels
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Welling United
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-2 Farnborough Town
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 1-1 Welling United
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in National League South


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