SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 64.99%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 14.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Welling United |
64.99% ( 0.08) | 20.18% ( -0.05) | 14.83% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.44% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.83% ( 0.17) | 44.17% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.46% ( 0.17) | 66.55% ( -0.17) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.19% ( 0.08) | 12.81% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.86% ( 0.16) | 39.14% ( -0.16) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.85% ( 0.06) | 42.15% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.43% ( 0.05) | 78.57% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Welling United |
| 2-0 @ 11.4% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.47% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 64.98% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.94% Total : 20.18% | 0-1 @ 4.67% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.14% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.6% Total : 14.83% |
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