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National League South | Gameweek 28
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Park View Road

Welling United
2 - 4
Dulwich Hamlet

Barnes (26'), Azeez (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wood (45+3'), Powell (46'), Holland (89'), Smith (90+2')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Welling United and Dulwich Hamlet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Worthing 3-2 Welling United
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 0-0 Dulwich Hamlet
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Welling United win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Dulwich Hamlet had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Welling United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Dulwich Hamlet win was 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result
Welling UnitedDrawDulwich Hamlet
41.93% (0.245 0.25) 23.92% (-0.038 -0.04) 34.14% (-0.215 -0.22)
Both teams to score 61.22% (0.073 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.03% (0.124 0.12)40.96% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.64% (0.129 0.13)63.35% (-0.135 -0.13)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.2% (0.158 0.16)19.79% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.15% (0.261 0.26)51.85% (-0.268 -0.27)
Dulwich Hamlet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.32% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)23.67% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.22% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)57.77% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Welling United 41.93%
    Dulwich Hamlet 34.14%
    Draw 23.92%
Welling UnitedDrawDulwich Hamlet
2-1 @ 8.86% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.15% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.78% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.45% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.32% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.025 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 41.93%
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.38% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.68% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.92%
1-2 @ 7.88% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.75% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.86% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.78% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.07% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.34% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 34.14%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Worthing 3-2 Welling United
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 2-1 Tonbridge Angels
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Welling United
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-2 Farnborough Town
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 1-1 Welling United
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-2 Weymouth
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 1-4 Farnborough Town
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-2 Dulwich Hamlet
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 1-1 Dover Athletic
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 2-0 Weymouth
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 2-1 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 2-2 Dulwich Hamlet
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League South


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