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National League South | Gameweek 32
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Court Place Farm

Oxford City
3 - 0
Welling United

Lolas (33'), McEachran (47'), Parker (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Oxford City and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hungerford 1-3 Oxford City
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 1-1 Welling United
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 61.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-2 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.

Result
Oxford CityDrawWelling United
61.12% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 20.71% (0.0030000000000001 0) 18.17% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 56.08% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.64% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)40.36% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.27% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)62.73% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)12.75% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.98% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)39.02% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.28% (-0.012 -0.01)35.72% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.51% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)72.49% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Oxford City 61.12%
    Welling United 18.17%
    Draw 20.71%
Oxford CityDrawWelling United
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 9.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.83% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 6.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 3.51% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 3.41%
4-2 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.41% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 61.12%
1-1 @ 9.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 4.56% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 20.71%
1-2 @ 4.97%
0-1 @ 4.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 18.17%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Hungerford 1-3 Oxford City
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 3-1 Weymouth
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-2 Oxford City
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 1-1 Oxford City
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 2-1 St Albans City
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 2-2 Oxford City
Sunday, January 1 at 1pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 1-1 Welling United
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 2-2 Dartford
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 Welling United
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 2-4 Dulwich Hamlet
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 3-2 Welling United
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 2-1 Tonbridge Angels
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South


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