SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 61.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.66%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-2 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Welling United |
61.12% ( -0) | 20.71% ( 0) | 18.17% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 56.08% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.64% ( -0.02) | 40.36% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.27% ( -0.02) | 62.73% ( 0.02) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.25% ( -0.01) | 12.75% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.98% ( -0.01) | 39.02% ( 0.01) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.28% ( -0.01) | 35.72% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.51% ( -0.01) | 72.49% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Welling United |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.66% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.83% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.63% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.51% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.41% 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 3.57% Total : 61.12% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.56% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.71% | 1-2 @ 4.97% 0-1 @ 4.69% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0)Other @ 2.63% Total : 18.17% |
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