Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-0 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.05) 
