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National League South | Gameweek 37
Mar 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Twerton Park Stadium

Bath City
1 - 0
Hemel Hempstead

Cooke (14')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Bath City and Hemel Hempstead Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-0 Bath City
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-0 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bath City in this match.

Result
Bath CityDrawHemel Hempstead Town
41.81% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 26.63% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 31.56% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.18% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.37% (0.056000000000004 0.06)53.62% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.88% (0.045999999999999 0.05)75.12% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Bath City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.67% (0.024999999999991 0.02)25.33% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.89% (0.033000000000001 0.03)60.11% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Hemel Hempstead Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.54% (0.040999999999997 0.04)31.46% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.16% (0.048000000000002 0.05)67.84% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Bath City 41.81%
    Hemel Hempstead Town 31.56%
    Draw 26.62%
Bath CityDrawHemel Hempstead Town
1-0 @ 10.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.69% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.98% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 3.44%
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 41.81%
1-1 @ 12.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.97% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 9.22% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.33%
1-3 @ 2.82% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 31.56%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-0 Bath City
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 0-3 Bath City
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 0-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-0 Havant & W'ville
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 1-2 Bath City
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 1-3 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-0 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 0-1 Hemel Hempstead
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 2-0 Havant & W'ville
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 1-1 Chippenham
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hungerford 3-0 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 2-1 Weymouth
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in National League South


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