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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 41%. A win for Hampton & Richmond had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Hampton & Richmond win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weymouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Weymouth | Draw | Hampton & Richmond |
41% ( 0.84) | 25.57% ( -0.22) | 33.44% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 55.22% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.3% ( 0.84) | 48.69% ( -0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.19% ( 0.75) | 70.8% ( -0.75) |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.45% ( 0.8) | 23.55% ( -0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.4% ( 1.15) | 57.6% ( -1.15) |
| Hampton & Richmond Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.23% ( 0.02) | 27.77% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.65% ( 0.03) | 63.35% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Weymouth | Draw | Hampton & Richmond |
| 1-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.22% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.02% Total : 41% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.56% | 0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 33.44% |
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