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National League South | Gameweek 29
Jan 21, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bob Lucas Stadium

Weymouth
1 - 2
Chelmsford City

Ash (39')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Grant (28'), Jackson (89')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weymouth and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 4-1 Weymouth
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-0 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
WeymouthDrawChelmsford City
36.36% (0.041999999999994 0.04) 26.02% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 37.62% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.15% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.73% (0.064999999999998 0.06)50.27% (-0.062999999999995 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.78% (0.059000000000001 0.06)72.22% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Weymouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.23% (0.057000000000002 0.06)26.77% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.95% (0.073 0.07)62.05% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.95% (0.016999999999996 0.02)26.05% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.91% (0.022999999999996 0.02)61.09% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Weymouth 36.36%
    Chelmsford City 37.62%
    Draw 26.02%
WeymouthDrawChelmsford City
1-0 @ 9.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.15% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.58% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.66% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 36.36%
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.97% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.48% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.08% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 9.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.32% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
0-2 @ 6.31% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.83% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 37.62%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 4-1 Weymouth
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-3 Taunton Town
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 2-0 Weymouth
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 1-3 Weymouth
Tuesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-5 Weymouth
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 0-0 Cheshunt
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-0 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 Chippenham
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 2-2 Chelmsford City
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 2-0 Braintree
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 3-0 Chelmsford City
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dulwich Hamlet 2-1 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League South


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