Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Weymouth | Draw | Chelmsford City |
36.36% ( 0.04) | 26.02% ( -0.01) | 37.62% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 54.15% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.73% ( 0.06) | 50.27% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.78% ( 0.06) | 72.22% ( -0.06) |
Weymouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.23% ( 0.06) | 26.77% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.95% ( 0.07) | 62.05% ( -0.07) |
Chelmsford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.95% ( 0.02) | 26.05% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.91% ( 0.02) | 61.09% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Weymouth | Draw | Chelmsford City |
1-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.06% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 36.36% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.73% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 37.62% |
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