SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.07%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Weymouth |
41.2% ( -0.04) | 23.59% ( 0.15) | 35.21% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 62.72% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.88% ( -0.74) | 39.12% ( 0.74) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.55% ( -0.78) | 61.45% ( 0.78) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.65% ( -0.33) | 19.35% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.87% ( -0.55) | 51.12% ( 0.54) |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.76% ( -0.4) | 22.23% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.34% ( -0.59) | 55.66% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Weymouth |
| 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.78% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.31% Total : 41.2% | 1-1 @ 10.62% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.15)3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.59% | 1-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 4% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 35.21% |
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