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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 50.46%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.48%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dover Athletic | Draw | Worthing |
25.84% ( 3.08) | 23.7% ( 1.03) | 50.46% ( -4.11) |
| Both teams to score 56.83% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.51% ( -1.57) | 44.49% ( 1.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.14% ( -1.54) | 66.86% ( 1.54) |
| Dover Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.05% ( 1.73) | 30.95% ( -1.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.76% ( 1.98) | 67.24% ( -1.97) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.3% ( -2.05) | 17.7% ( 2.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.65% ( -3.67) | 48.35% ( 3.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dover Athletic | Draw | Worthing |
| 2-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.59) 1-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.71)2-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.57)3-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.34)3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.28)Other @ 2.89% Total : 25.84% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.52) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.15)0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.37)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.7% | 1-2 @ 9.63% ( -0.21) 0-1 @ 9.48% ( 0)0-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.58)1-3 @ 5.56% ( -0.52)0-3 @ 4.74% ( -0.7)2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.41)0-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.47)2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.17)Other @ 3.7% Total : 50.46% |
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