Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 64.36%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 16.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.03%) and 0-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 2-1 (4.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
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