SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 50.82%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gateshead | Draw | Aldershot Town |
50.82% ( -2.07) | 23.02% ( 0.42) | 26.16% ( 1.65) |
| Both teams to score 59.49% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.89% ( -0.44) | 41.11% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.49% ( -0.45) | 63.51% ( 0.45) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.69% ( -0.88) | 16.31% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.11% ( -1.62) | 45.89% ( 1.62) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.09% ( 1.04) | 28.91% ( -1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.21% ( 1.28) | 64.79% ( -1.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gateshead | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.34)3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.23)4-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.43% Total : 50.82% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.02% | 1-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.31) 0-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.15)Other @ 3.4% Total : 26.16% |
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