SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Maidstone United |
49.85% ( 0.09) | 21.95% ( -0.03) | 28.2% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 65.25% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.67% ( 0.11) | 34.33% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.76% ( 0.13) | 56.24% ( -0.13) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.81% ( 0.07) | 14.18% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.11% ( 0.14) | 41.89% ( -0.14) |
| Maidstone United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.03% ( 0.02) | 23.97% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.8% ( 0.03) | 58.2% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Maidstone United |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.22% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.65% Total : 49.85% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.62% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.95% | 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.23% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 28.2% |
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