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National League | Gameweek 23
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
Technique Stadium

Chesterfield
3 - 1
Dorking

Tshimanga (45+3' pen.), Dobra (84'), Quigley (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McShane (58')
Jebb (43'), McShane (44'), Philpot (45+2'), Muitt (45+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Halifax 1-0 Chesterfield
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League
Last Game: Halifax 3-1 Dorking
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League

We said: Chesterfield 2-0 Dorking Wanderers

Dorking Wanderers have been struggling defensively throughout the season, and that is something that could lead to them struggling this weekend. Chesterfield are one of the strongest teams in the division and they will be the heavy favourites heading into this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 66.11%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 15.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
ChesterfieldDrawDorking Wanderers
66.11% (-0.0019999999999953 -0) 18.66% (0.0030000000000001 0) 15.24% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Both teams to score 56.9% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.79% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)36.21% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.67% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)58.33% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.8% (0.00099999999999056 0)10.2% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)33.48% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.36% (0.0030000000000001 0)36.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.57% (0.0020000000000024 0)73.43% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 66.11%
    Dorking Wanderers 15.24%
    Draw 18.66%
ChesterfieldDrawDorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.78%
2-0 @ 9.74%
1-0 @ 8.53% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 7.44%
3-0 @ 7.41%
4-1 @ 4.25%
4-0 @ 4.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.13% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-1 @ 1.94% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.93%
5-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 66.11%
1-1 @ 8.57% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 18.66%
1-2 @ 4.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 3.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.64%
1-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 15.24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Halifax 1-0 Chesterfield
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Chesterfield
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chesterfield 2-0 Solihull
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-5 Chesterfield
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Chesterfield 1-0 Northampton
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chesterfield 2-1 Gateshead
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Halifax 3-1 Dorking
Tuesday, December 6 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 1-1 Dorking
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in National League
Last Game: Dorking 1-0 York City
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dorking 2-3 Bromley
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 2-0 Dorking
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Torquay Utd 3-3 Dorking
Wednesday, November 9 at 7.45pm in National League


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