Dorking Wanderers have been struggling defensively throughout the season, and that is something that could lead to them struggling this weekend. Chesterfield are one of the strongest teams in the division and they will be the heavy favourites heading into this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 66.11%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 15.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.57%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
66.11% ( -0)	18.66% ( 0)	15.24% ( 0)

Both teams to score 56.9% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.79% (

-0)

36.21% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.67% (

-0)

58.33% (

0.01)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.8% (

10.2% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.52% (

-0)

33.48% (

0.01)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.36% (

36.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.57% (

73.43% (

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 66.11%

Dorking Wanderers 15.24%

Draw 18.66%

Chesterfield	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.78% 2-0 @ 9.74% 1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.44% 3-0 @ 7.41% 4-1 @ 4.25% 4-0 @ 4.23% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.13% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.94% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.93% 5-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 4.03% Total : 66.11%	1-1 @ 8.57% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.74% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.66%	1-2 @ 4.3% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.75% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.64% 1-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.22% Total : 15.24%