SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 57.82%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for York City had a probability of 20.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a York City win it was 1-2 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | York City |
57.82% ( -0.02) | 21.98% ( 0.01) | 20.19% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.34% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.94% ( -0.01) | 43.06% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.54% ( -0.01) | 65.46% ( 0.01) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.37% ( -0.01) | 14.63% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.25% ( -0.02) | 42.75% ( 0.02) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.83% ( 0) | 35.17% ( -0) |
