Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 56.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 20.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for an Altrincham win it was 1-0 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
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