SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 35.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Gateshead |
35.3% ( -0.03) | 24.41% ( 0.05) | 40.29% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 59.7% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.92% ( -0.24) | 43.07% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.53% ( -0.24) | 65.47% ( 0.24) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.99% ( -0.13) | 24.01% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.74% ( -0.19) | 58.26% ( 0.19) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.55% ( -0.11) | 21.44% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.54% ( -0.17) | 54.46% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Gateshead |
| 2-1 @ 8.07% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 35.3% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 8.71% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.13% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 40.29% |
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