SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 49.97%. A win for York City had a probability of 25.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest York City win was 0-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | York City |
49.97% ( 0.23) | 24.5% ( -0.07) | 25.53% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 53.92% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.8% ( 0.16) | 48.2% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.64% ( 0.15) | 70.35% ( -0.15) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.68% ( 0.16) | 19.32% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.92% ( 0.26) | 51.07% ( -0.26) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.83% ( -0.05) | 33.17% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.22% ( -0.05) | 69.77% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.05% Total : 49.96% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 7.07% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 25.53% |
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