SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 56.08%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 21.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Altrincham in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Altrincham.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
56.08% ( 0.74) | 21.99% ( -0.08) | 21.93% ( -0.66) |
| Both teams to score 58.01% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.22% ( -0.42) | 40.78% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.83% ( -0.43) | 63.17% ( 0.43) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.58% ( 0.09) | 14.41% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.66% ( 0.19) | 42.33% ( -0.19) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.78% ( -0.82) | 32.22% ( 0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.29% ( -0.95) | 68.71% ( 0.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 6.37% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.1% Total : 56.09% | 1-1 @ 10.18% 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.98% | 1-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.5% Total : 21.93% |
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