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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 52.52%. A win for Brackley Town had a probability of 23.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Brackley Town win was 0-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Brackley Town |
52.52% ( -2.38) | 23.56% ( 0.93) | 23.92% ( 1.45) |
| Both teams to score 55.28% ( -1.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.4% ( -2.54) | 45.6% ( 2.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.07% ( -2.47) | 67.93% ( 2.47) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.66% ( -1.75) | 17.34% ( 1.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.27% ( -3.16) | 47.73% ( 3.17) |
| Brackley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.88% ( -0.12) | 33.13% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.28% ( -0.13) | 69.72% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hartlepool United | Draw | Brackley Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.5) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.41)3-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.36)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.24)4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.34)4-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.3)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.2)Other @ 3.8% Total : 52.52% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.52) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.6)2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.56% | 0-1 @ 6.35% ( 0.64) 1-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.35)1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.39% Total : 23.92% |
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