Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.
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