Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-0 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
