Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 47.17%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 28.68% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Altrincham would win this match.
