Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidenhead United would win this match.
