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National League | Gameweek 38
Mar 13, 2021 at 3pm UK
York Road
C

Maidenhead
2 - 0
Chesterfield

Blissett (21'), Sparkes (52')
Sparkes (34'), (71'), Ashby-Hammond (82'), Upward (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League clash between Maidenhead United and Chesterfield.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 34.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidenhead United would win this match.

Result
Maidenhead UnitedDrawChesterfield
39.82%25.45%34.73%
Both teams to score 55.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.07%47.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.89%70.11%
Maidenhead United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.19%23.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.02%57.98%
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.38%26.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.15%61.85%
Score Analysis
    Maidenhead United 39.82%
    Chesterfield 34.73%
    Draw 25.45%
Maidenhead UnitedDrawChesterfield
1-0 @ 9.1%
2-1 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 6.53%
3-1 @ 4.13%
3-0 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 2.74%
4-1 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.12%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 39.82%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 6.34%
2-2 @ 5.72%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 8.39%
1-2 @ 7.97%
0-2 @ 5.55%
1-3 @ 3.52%
2-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 2.45%
1-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 34.73%

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