SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 48.07%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 1-0 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maidstone United | Draw | Chesterfield |
26.94% ( 0.12) | 24.98% ( 0.03) | 48.07% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 53.62% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.81% ( -0.06) | 49.19% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.75% ( -0.05) | 71.25% ( 0.05) |
| Maidstone United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.44% ( 0.06) | 32.56% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.9% ( 0.07) | 69.1% ( -0.07) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.51% ( -0.09) | 20.49% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.03% ( -0.14) | 52.97% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidstone United | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.56% Total : 26.94% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.41% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 48.07% |
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