SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 55.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 21.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Dagenham & Redbridge win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
55.97% ( 3.02) | 22.61% ( -0.96) | 21.41% ( -2.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.14% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.77% ( 1.89) | 44.23% ( -1.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.39% ( 1.81) | 66.6% ( -1.81) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.36% ( 1.74) | 15.63% ( -1.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.35% ( 3.14) | 44.64% ( -3.14) |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.36% ( -0.84) | 34.64% ( 0.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.64% ( -0.9) | 71.36% ( 0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.42)3-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.52)3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.35)4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.38)4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.15)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.18)5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.19)Other @ 2.53% Total : 55.97% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.49) 0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.46)2-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.61% | 0-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.63) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.4)0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.41)1-3 @ 2% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.06% Total : 21.41% |
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