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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 66.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 15.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.36%) and 0-1 (8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 2-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Chesterfield |
15.26% ( -0.34) | 18.31% ( -0.15) | 66.43% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 58.3% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.55% ( 0.01) | 34.45% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.63% ( 0.01) | 56.37% ( -0.01) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.51% ( -0.41) | 35.49% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.75% ( -0.43) | 72.25% ( 0.43) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.36% ( 0.11) | 9.64% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.81% ( 0.27) | 32.18% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 2-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.37% Total : 15.26% | 1-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.42% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 18.31% | 1-2 @ 9.7% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.09)0-1 @ 8% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 7.56% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 7.3% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 4.42% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 4.27% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 2.29% ( -0)1-5 @ 2.07% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 2% ( 0.05)2-5 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 4.47% Total : 66.43% |
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