SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 2-1 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chesterfield in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Chesterfield.
| Result | ||
| Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Chesterfield |
31.23% ( 0.02) | 24.17% ( -0.09) | 44.6% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 59.19% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.85% ( 0.44) | 43.15% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.45% ( 0.43) | 65.55% ( -0.43) |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.55% ( 0.23) | 26.45% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.37% ( 0.3) | 61.63% ( -0.3) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.47% ( 0.21) | 19.53% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.58% ( 0.34) | 51.42% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.03% 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.2% Total : 31.23% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.16% | 1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 4.99% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.75% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.13% Total : 44.6% |
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