SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 64.28%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for York City had a probability of 15.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a York City win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | York City |
64.28% ( -0.14) | 19.95% ( 0.02) | 15.77% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 53.5% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.75% ( 0.16) | 41.24% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.36% ( 0.17) | 63.64% ( -0.17) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.87% ( 0.01) | 12.13% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.28% ( 0.02) | 37.71% ( -0.02) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.88% ( 0.26) | 39.11% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.17% ( 0.24) | 75.83% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | York City |
| 2-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 10% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.68% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.55% ( 0)Other @ 3.63% Total : 64.27% | 1-1 @ 9.39% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.95% | 0-1 @ 4.45% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.98% Total : 15.77% |
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