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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 23.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.59%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-0 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Chesterfield |
23.29% ( -0.08) | 24.85% ( -0.02) | 51.86% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 50.5% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.42% ( -0.02) | 51.58% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.63% ( -0.01) | 73.37% ( 0.02) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.02% ( -0.08) | 36.98% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.23% ( -0.09) | 73.76% ( 0.09) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.12% ( 0.03) | 19.88% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.01% ( 0.05) | 51.99% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.74% Total : 23.29% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.59% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.17% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.14% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.79% Total : 51.86% |
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