Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 23.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.59%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-0 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
-0.08) 
0.1) 
