SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 64.7%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 16.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 1-0 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
64.7% ( -0.11) | 18.97% ( 0.05) | 16.33% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 58.43% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.54% ( -0.16) | 35.46% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.5% ( -0.17) | 57.5% ( 0.17) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.66% ( -0.07) | 10.34% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.21% ( -0.17) | 33.79% ( 0.16) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.16% ( -0.03) | 34.83% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.43% ( -0.04) | 71.57% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.06% Total : 64.7% | 1-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.16% 0-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 18.97% | 1-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 16.33% |
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