SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidenhead United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
40.3% ( -0.29) | 24.09% ( 0.09) | 35.61% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 60.94% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.52% ( -0.41) | 41.48% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.12% ( -0.41) | 63.88% ( 0.41) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.25% ( -0.31) | 20.75% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.61% ( -0.49) | 53.39% ( 0.49) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.9% ( -0.08) | 23.1% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.05% ( -0.12) | 56.95% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 5.93% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.83% Total : 40.3% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 35.61% |
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