SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for York City had a probability of 37.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.13%). The likeliest York City win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
37.04% ( 3.15) | 25.78% ( 0.56) | 37.17% ( -3.7) |
| Both teams to score 55% ( -1.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.8% ( -2.14) | 49.2% ( 2.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.73% ( -1.96) | 71.26% ( 1.96) |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.12% ( 0.82) | 25.87% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.14% ( 1.1) | 60.86% ( -1.1) |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.2% ( -2.91) | 25.8% ( 2.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.24% ( -4.12) | 60.76% ( 4.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Dagenham & Redbridge |
| 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.96) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.41)2-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.77)3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.27)3-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.4)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.05% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.33) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.57)2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.49)0-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.52)1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.57)0-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.5)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.32)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.32)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.27)Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.17% |
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