Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Boreham Wood had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Boreham Wood win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Boreham Wood |
40.93% ( 0.03) | 25.67% ( -0.01) | 33.39% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.84% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.82% ( 0.04) | 49.18% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.75% ( 0.04) | 71.24% ( -0.04) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.2% ( 0.03) | 23.79% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.04% ( 0.05) | 57.95% ( -0.05) |
Boreham Wood Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.96% ( 0.01) | 28.03% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.31% ( 0.01) | 63.68% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Boreham Wood |
1-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.88% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.29% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 1.96% Total : 40.93% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.67% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.28% 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.8% Total : 33.39% |
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