Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 37.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.21%) and 2-0 (5.52%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-2 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gateshead in this match.
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